Dr. Ana Isabel Barros
- Operational Research
- Complex systems
- Intelligence analysis
- Defence and Security
We focus on nine societal areas.
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The existence, and consequences, of conflict and crime in society trigger the need to timely detect leading indicators of critical transitions that might lead to conflict and that can help implement interventions to counter criminal behaviour. Although such interventions may appear valid and reasonable when analysed in isolation, when implemented in complex societal systems, they might produce unanticipated effects, counteract others, or harm instead of contributing to increase security. This is the nature of complex systems.Additionally, certain threat vectors are not identifiable immediately and the actions to counter them take time to be identified, defined, and implemented, unavoidably adding time delays with consequences that are difficult to assess and manage.
Therefore, this session will address topics like analysis of thresholds and tipping points of conflict escalation, emergent behaviour of criminal organisations, strategies and interventions for conflict de-escalation, and effectively countering crime will be addressed. Moreover, it will foster a conversation about how complex systems analysis can effectively help address security challenges and make the world a safer place!
The program of the CCS'18 Satellite session 'The Complexity of Conflict and Crime' on September 26, 2018 is as follows:
|Morning presentation sessions (9:00-13:00)|
|09:00||Welcome and satellite session organisation|
|09:05||-||9:45||Czeslaw Mesjasz (Cracow University of Economics, Poland)
Common knowledge, ignorance and reduction of complexity of conflicts
|09:45||-||10:30||Marco Alberto Javarone (University of Kent, UK)
Modeling Conflicts and Competitions in Evolutionary Systems
|11:00||-||11:30||Eelco van der Maat (University of Leiden, The Netherlands)
Simplified Complexity: Analytical Strategies for Conflict Event Research
|11:30||-||12:00||Tristan Perez (Queensland University of Technology, Australia)
Inverse Game Theory For Adversarial Network Models of Combat
|12:00||-||12:30||Kiran Sharma (Jawaharlal Nehru University, India)
Complex (anti)-social networks: Ethnic conflicts and human rights violations
|Afternoon presentation sessions (14:30-18:00)|
|14:30||-||15:00||Cheong Siew Ann (Nanyang Technological University, Singapore)
Using Complex Agent Network Models to Understand Youth Violence
|15:00||-||15:30||Koen van der Zwet (University of Amsterdam, The Netherlands)
Modeling emergent behaviour of illicit organisations
|15:30||-||16:00||Takayuki Mizuno (National Institute of Informatics, Japan)
A temporal-spatial correlation between languages and public safety in multiracial societies
|16:30||-||17:00||Ignacio Martinez-Moyano (Argonne National Laboratory, University of Chicago, USA)
Title to be determined
|17:00||-||17:30||Francisco Rodrigues (University of São Paulo, Brazil)
Crime prediction through urban metrics and statistical learning (tentative)